Extension of probability models to predict association football match outcomes

Kiran Smith


Supervised by Steven Schockaert; Moderated by Alia I Abdelmoty

For this project, I intend to investigate and further extend probability models on the outcome of association football matches. This new probability model will be used as a basis to understand and devise the best strategy for winning against the UK gambling market in this area. As part of my analysis, I will be taking into account a variety of psychological and non-psychological data in order to maximise the chance of success.

Initial Plan (02/02/2015) [Zip Archive]

Final Report (05/05/2015) [Zip Archive]

Publication Form